https://cluster-site.onrender.com/tags/prediction/ Recent content in Prediction on Tenu Tech Brief Hugo -- 0.146.0 en-us Thu, 26 Feb 2026 07:50:29 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/kinetic-inductance-incorporated-quantization-for-accurate-hamiltonian-prediction-in-superconducting-circuits/ Thu, 26 Feb 2026 07:32:53 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/kinetic-inductance-incorporated-quantization-for-accurate-hamiltonian-prediction-in-superconducting-circuits/ • Abstract We propose an improved method for quantizing superconducting circuits that incorporates material- and geometry-dependent kinetic inductance • Our approach models thin su https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/everything-can-be-a-bet-now-the-rise-and-risks-of-prediction-markets/ Thu, 26 Feb 2026 02:00:03 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/everything-can-be-a-bet-now-the-rise-and-risks-of-prediction-markets/ • It’s a simple question that now drives more than US$13 billion (£9 • 7 billion) a month on prediction markets-companies like Polymarket, PredictIt and Kalshi https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/mrbeast-editor-nabbed-by-prediction-market-firm-kalshi-for-alleged-insider-trading/ Wed, 25 Feb 2026 19:06:24 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/mrbeast-editor-nabbed-by-prediction-market-firm-kalshi-for-alleged-insider-trading/ • MrBeast editor nabbed by prediction market firm Kalshi for alleged insider trading The company said it punished the MrBeast employee and another user it said tried to get away wi https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/solana-based-tbd-a-prediction-market-protocol-for-verified-human-opinion-raises-3-million/ Wed, 25 Feb 2026 15:00:02 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/solana-based-tbd-a-prediction-market-protocol-for-verified-human-opinion-raises-3-million/ • TBD, co-founded by former dYdX team members, has raised $3 million in a seed round co-led by CMT Digital and ParaFi https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/what-is-a-prediction-market/ Wed, 25 Feb 2026 11:10:22 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/what-is-a-prediction-market/ • Prediction markets are platforms that allow users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events. • Participants buy and sell shares representing the potential outcomes of the eve https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/benchmarking-early-deterioration-prediction-across-hospital-rich-and-mci-like-emergency-triage-under-constrained-sensing/ Wed, 25 Feb 2026 05:00:00 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/benchmarking-early-deterioration-prediction-across-hospital-rich-and-mci-like-emergency-triage-under-constrained-sensing/ • Computer Science > Computers and Society [Submitted on 9 Feb 2026] Title:Benchmarking Early Deterioration Prediction Across Hospital-Rich and MCI-Like Emergency Triage Under Cons https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/prediction-market-firms-could-be-making-10-billion-in-yearly-revenue-by-2030-citizens-bank-says/ Tue, 24 Feb 2026 17:58:27 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/prediction-market-firms-could-be-making-10-billion-in-yearly-revenue-by-2030-citizens-bank-says/ • Prediction market firms could be making $10 billion in yearly revenue by 2030, Citizens Bank says The bank said rising volumes, tighter market structure and early institutional e https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/how-ai-is-helping-retail-traders-exploit-prediction-market-glitches-to-make-easy-money/ Sat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00:00 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/how-ai-is-helping-retail-traders-exploit-prediction-market-glitches-to-make-easy-money/ • How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market ‘glitches’ to make easy money A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/everything-is-gambling-now-the-latest-news-on-prediction-markets-like-polymarket-and-kalshi/ Fri, 20 Feb 2026 17:54:11 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/everything-is-gambling-now-the-latest-news-on-prediction-markets-like-polymarket-and-kalshi/ • Prediction markets will let you bet on just about anything, from how many tweets Elon Musk will post this week to the next president of the United States, with predictions someti https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/mmcaformer-macro-micro-cross-attention-transformer-for-traffic-speed-prediction-with-microscopic-connected-vehicle-driving-behavior/ Fri, 20 Feb 2026 05:00:00 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/mmcaformer-macro-micro-cross-attention-transformer-for-traffic-speed-prediction-with-microscopic-connected-vehicle-driving-behavior/ • Computer Science > Machine Learning [Submitted on 17 Feb 2026] Title:MMCAformer: Macro-Micro Cross-Attention Transformer for Traffic Speed Prediction with Microscopic Connected V https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/polymarket-buys-fresh-prediction-market-api-startup-dome-marking-second-official-acquisition/ Thu, 19 Feb 2026 18:07:32 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/polymarket-buys-fresh-prediction-market-api-startup-dome-marking-second-official-acquisition/ • Dome, which offers a unified API for prediction markets, was developed as part of startup accelerator Y Combinator’s Fall 2025 cohort. https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/u.s.-federal-reserve-researchers-sing-praises-of-prediction-markets/ Thu, 19 Feb 2026 17:01:56 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/u.s.-federal-reserve-researchers-sing-praises-of-prediction-markets/ • Federal Reserve researchers sing praises of prediction markets A deep look at predictions on Kalshi called such platforms valuable to policymakers and researchers, according to a https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/it%238217s-maga-v-broligarch-in-the-battle-over-prediction-markets/ Thu, 19 Feb 2026 13:50:00 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/it%238217s-maga-v-broligarch-in-the-battle-over-prediction-markets/ • Policy AI Column It’s MAGA v Broligarch in the battle over prediction markets Prediction: This is going to be a mess for the Trump right. • Link Share Gift If you buy something f https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/polymarkets-lawsuit-could-decide-who-regulates-us-prediction-markets/ Thu, 19 Feb 2026 12:27:50 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/polymarkets-lawsuit-could-decide-who-regulates-us-prediction-markets/ • Polymarket’s lawsuit could decide who regulates US prediction markets Polymarket’s lawsuit challenges state authority and could redefine whether the CFTC controls US prediction m https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/td-cowen-despite-cftc-intervention-states-hold-edge-in-prediction-markets-legal-fight/ Wed, 18 Feb 2026 21:31:20 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/td-cowen-despite-cftc-intervention-states-hold-edge-in-prediction-markets-legal-fight/ • ‘We continue to give a slight edge to the states in this legal fight primarily because the states have historically been the regulators of sports gambling.’ https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/nevada-sues-to-block-kalshi%238217s-prediction-betting-market/ Wed, 18 Feb 2026 15:35:00 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/nevada-sues-to-block-kalshi%238217s-prediction-betting-market/ • Policy News Politics Nevada sues to block Kalshi’s prediction betting market The state of Nevada claims Kalshi doesn’t have the proper license to operate, while also allowing peo https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/nevada-sues-kalshi-after-prediction-market-loses-bid-to-stop-state-action/ Wed, 18 Feb 2026 06:16:36 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/nevada-sues-kalshi-after-prediction-market-loses-bid-to-stop-state-action/ • Nevada sues Kalshi after prediction market loses bid to stop state action Kalshi is looking to have Nevada’s lawsuit heard in federal court, again asserting it is subject only to https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/cftc-claims-exclusive-federal-authority-over-prediction-markets-in-new-brief-clashing-with-states/ Wed, 18 Feb 2026 00:50:19 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/cftc-claims-exclusive-federal-authority-over-prediction-markets-in-new-brief-clashing-with-states/ • The filing marks the latest move by the agency to assert federal jurisdiction over fast-growing prediction markets like Kalshi & Polymarket. https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/cftc-chair-doubles-down-on-defending-prediction-markets-from-state-lawsuits/ Tue, 17 Feb 2026 18:39:09 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/cftc-chair-doubles-down-on-defending-prediction-markets-from-state-lawsuits/ • CFTC chair doubles down on defending prediction markets from state lawsuits Michael Selig said the US financial regulator had filed an amicus brief against what he called an ‘ons https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/cftc-chair-doubles-down-on-defending-prediction-markets-from-state-suits/ Tue, 17 Feb 2026 18:39:09 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/cftc-chair-doubles-down-on-defending-prediction-markets-from-state-suits/ • CFTC chair doubles down on defending prediction markets from state suits Michael Selig said that the US financial regulator had filed an amicus brief against what he called an ‘o https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/polymarket-investor-vitalik-buterin-says-prediction-markets-need-to-stop-catering-to-dumb-opinions/ Sun, 15 Feb 2026 16:33:47 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/polymarket-investor-vitalik-buterin-says-prediction-markets-need-to-stop-catering-to-dumb-opinions/ • Buterin proposed replacing the current speculative model with AI-powered hedging tools that help users offset real-world costs like housing and food. https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/gpu-serving-two-tower-models-for-lightweight-ads-engagement-prediction/ Fri, 13 Feb 2026 23:44:45 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/gpu-serving-two-tower-models-for-lightweight-ads-engagement-prediction/ • Yuanlu Bai | Machine Learning Engineer II, L1 Conversion and Shopping Modeling; Yao Cheng | Sr. • Machine Learning Engineer, L1 Conversion and Shopping Modeling; Xiao Yang | Sr. https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/gpu-serving-two-tower-models-for-lightweight-ads-engagement-prediction/ Fri, 13 Feb 2026 23:44:45 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/gpu-serving-two-tower-models-for-lightweight-ads-engagement-prediction/ • Yuanlu Bai | Machine Learning Engineer II, L1 Conversion and Shopping Modeling; Yao Cheng | Sr. • Machine Learning Engineer, L1 Conversion and Shopping Modeling; Xiao Yang | Sr. https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/whole-body-conditioned-egocentric-video-prediction/ Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:00:00 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/whole-body-conditioned-egocentric-video-prediction/ • Predicting Ego-centric Video from human Actions (PEVA). • Given past video frames and an action specifying a desired change in 3D pose, PEVA predicts the next video frame. • Our https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/whole-body-conditioned-egocentric-video-prediction/ Tue, 01 Jul 2025 09:00:00 +0000 https://cluster-site.onrender.com/posts/whole-body-conditioned-egocentric-video-prediction/ • Predicting Ego-centric Video from human Actions (PEVA). • Given past video frames and an action specifying a desired change in 3D pose, PEVA predicts the next video frame. • Our